Dowstrademus Technical Analysis Dashboard
Comprehensive Volatility & Market Structure Analysis
November 7, 2025 | Real-Time Market Assessment
S&P 500 Index
6,680
Support: 6,500-6,550
CAUTION
VIX Level
19.80
Critical: 19.40 & 21.01
AT RISK
VOLFUTA Premium
0.73
Threshold: 0.50
AT RISK
Put-Call Ratio
0.96
Rising 2 weeks
BEARISH
Historical Vol (HV20)
15%
Normal: 8-12%
ELEVATED
Win Rate (Oct)
75%
15W / 5L
STRONG
Oct Return
50%
$3,549 profit
EXCELLENT
NYSE New Lows
110
Signal: 100+ x2 days
NEUTRAL
S&P 500: Price Structure with Support & Resistance
VIX: Signals and Critical Thresholds
VIX Futures Term Structure
Market Breadth Oscillators
NYSE New Highs vs New Lows
VOLFUTA: VIX Futures Premium Compression
Put-Call Ratios (Rising = Bearish)
Historical Volatility (HV20)
October 2025: Daily P&L Performance
October 2025: Top Trades
📡 Technical Signal Dashboard
Real-time status of all monitored indicators
SPX Price Structure
S&P 500 has broken 6,750 support but holds above critical 6,500 level
CAUTION
MVB Sell Signal
McMillan Volatility Band targeting -4σ at 6,500
BEARISH
Put-Call Ratios
Rising for 2 weeks, indicating increased hedging demand
BEARISH
Breadth Oscillators
Both oscillators on sell signals, currently oversold
BEARISH
New Highs-Lows
Approached 100+ new lows but no confirmation
NEUTRAL
Realized Volatility
HV20 at 15%, well above normal 8-12% range
ELEVATED
VIX Spike Peak
Buy signal at risk if VIX closes above 21.01
AT RISK
VIX Trend Signal
Buy signal at risk if VIX closes above 19.40 today
AT RISK
VIX Term Structure
Still in contango but weakening significantly
WEAKENING
VOLFUTA Premium
At 0.73, approaching 0.50 threshold for SVXY closure
AT RISK
💼 Position Management
Current positions and recommended actions
| Position | Type | Status | Stop/Target | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVXY Calls (4x Nov 21 50) | Inverse VIX | VOLFUTA approaching 0.50 | Close immediately | |
| SPY Bear Spread (Nov 28 ATM -40pts) | New Position | Support broken at 6,750 | Stop: SPX > 6,760 | |
| SPY Put Spread (Nov 21 665/615) | MVB Signal | Active | Target: SPX 6,500 | |
| SPY Call Spread (Nov 28 685/700) | VIX Spike Peak | At Risk | Stop: VIX > 20.16 | |
| APH Calls (2x Nov 21 130) | Long | Making new highs | Stop raised to 130 | |
| TSEM Call Spread (Nov 17 85 / Nov 21 95) | Long | Recently rolled up | Stop: 76, Roll: 95 | |
| BXP Puts (2x Jan 16 72.5) | Long | PCR sell signal active | Hold while signal active | |
| BSX Calls (2x Dec 19 100) | Long | PCR buy signal active | Hold while signal active |
🎯 Market Scenario Analysis
Probability-weighted outcomes based on current technical structure
🟢 Bullish Resolution
20%
Outcome: Current weakness represents final shakeout before year-end rally. Market forms higher low and resumes advance toward 7,000+.
Key Triggers:
- SPX holds 6,500-6,550 decisively
- VIX reverses before trend sell signal
- VOLFUTA stabilizes above 0.50
- Breadth improves 2-3 consecutive days
- Put-call ratios begin declining
🟡 Extended Consolidation
45%
Outcome: Market enters choppy, range-bound phase. VIX oscillates 18-22. Neither bulls nor bears gain control for several weeks.
Key Triggers:
- SPX trades in 6,500-6,750 range
- VIX remains moderately elevated
- Internal indicators stay weak but stable
- No decisive breakout either direction
- Time consolidation before resolution
🔴 Bearish Breakdown
35%
Outcome: Current correction extends into 10-20% decline. VIX spikes above 25. Systematic de-risking by institutional investors.
Key Triggers:
- SPX breaks decisively below 6,500
- VIX 20-day MA crosses above 200-day MA
- VOLFUTA goes negative (backwardation)
- New lows exceed 100 for multiple days
- Breadth deteriorates further